What will 2026 bring?

This monthly update was started a couple of days before the new year. I finalised it just after New Year’s Day, but took a few days to proofread it.

I find the period between Christmas and the new year to be rather melancholic. However, Christmas day was unique and very special as Rowan, Ben and four-month-old Ledger joined us for lunch. Of course, Ledger does not have much idea about what is going on, but it was a joy and delight to have the little boy present. He is as bright as a button and is beginning to smile and chuckle (although not at me yet!). He has turned into a little person very quickly and clearly has strong opinions.

My older half-sister (94, and soon to turn 95) went to her daughter’s (my half-niece) for Christmas. She informed us, during the Christmas phone call, that she is about to become a great grandmother. She is very excited about it. It is clear the next generations are coming into their own.

The experience of being a grandparent is not something I fully appreciated before it happened. It is remarkable to look at Ledger and then reflect on my grandfather who was born in 1868. I won’t see 2068, but he will, and if he lives to 74 he will mark the 200 years since his great grandfather was born, the year 2099 for those who don’t want to do the maths.

There is no doubt that my generation has been incredibly fortunate in many ways. Being young and fit enough to enjoy grandchildren is just one. Having said that though, we were looking through my mother’s research on our family history, and it is striking that the men and, provided they survived childbirth, the women in our family mostly lived longer than average lives.

But perhaps they were not ‘prosperous’ prior to my father’s generation. In general, their occupations were not anything to write home about, agricultural labourers dominate. I should add that there is a rich source of information for genealogists in the United Kingdom through the census. This has been carried out every 10 years since 1811. We, as a family, also have rich pickings as, in her research, my mother acquired copies of birth, death, and marriage certificates going back a long time.

Before the holiday period I went and collected a number of new books I had ordered from our local library. My modus operandi is to read reviews in the two papers I get: on Saturday, the Guardian and on Sunday, the Observer. I then order books that look interesting but that are not available in the local branch. In that way one does not need to pay for a book, and if it does not merit careful reading, not much is lost. The cost of this interlibrary loan is a mere 60p. Among the books I took out were two which I read slowly, with great pleasure, as I enjoyed them so much.

Sebastian Faulks’ memoir Fires Which Burned Brightly (Penguin Random House, London, 2025) is excellent. He is a few years older than me and I have both enjoyed and been inspired by his book. It is described as a snapshot of a life in progress.

There is a delightful description of him in a jetlagged state at a book signing. I can confirm that at these events one has books thrust at one and is expected to sign and write a brief inscription: “To Joe, thank you for buying this book, I hope it inspired/interests you, Alan”, or something similar.

Faulks says he took a book and asked the purchaser for her name. She said ‘Holly’. He replied that it was a lovely name and was what his daughter was called. She brought the book back as he had written “To Holly with love from Daddy” on the flyleaf. One does go into automatic pilot mode! I have enjoyed telling this story to every family member I can, and have not stopped laughing at it yet! My faux pas at a signing was misspelling the name of the person.

I am looking forward to getting the next tranche of edits from Sandra Dodson in Cape Town. She is the editor I have contracted and is currently working through my text. Reading Faulks’ book makes me feel I have something worth saying, we lived through the same period but from very different perspectives! Of course, I can’t write with his skill and fluency!

The book I have just closed is Buckeye by Patrick Ryan (Bloomsbury Publishing, London, 2025). There are some books which one just does not want to finish as the story is so engrossing. This is one. It is set in a small Ohio town called Bonhomie. It is essentially the story of the lives of people of the town from 1946 up to 1976 or 1977. I was going to say nothing dramatic happens, that would not be true as life happens, and we are all the stars of our own dramas.

The end of the Second World War is the point at which the action starts. One of the main characters, Cal Jenkins, had been unable to enlist as he has a shortened leg. Felix Salt, on the other hand, was fit, joined up and saw action in the Pacific. He was badly wounded and sent to convalesce in San Francisco before being discharged and returning home. He is scarred by what he has seen and experienced.

Central to the story are the next generation, two young men, Tom and Skip, who are in fact half-brothers, a secret not known by the townsfolk or the boys. I won’t say which of the men, Felix or Cal, is the father as that would spoil it for anyone who reads this and gets the book.

It is a story of the boys growing up and the adults living their complicated lives. Running through it as a sub-theme is that the father of the boys is gay, or at least as gay as it was possible to be in America in those times. In a shout out on the back cover, Tom Hanks writes “I’ve been yearning for a novel that connects the American generations who dealt with our two Wars – one of Omaha Beach, the other of the La Drang Valley (in Vietnam). Buckeye is that book and its soars”. I totally concur.

My younger sister came up to stay over the Christmas holiday. We went out on the Sunday between Christmas and the new year to the small market town of Aylsham. The pub in the village square, unfortunately, is called The Black Boys, and they do an excellent Sunday lunch. I was the only meat eater present so had turkey, for the first and only time in 2025. The vegetarian range of food was excellent according to the vegetarians (everyone else), and everyone felt they had eaten too much.

Of course, at this time of year it is very chilly here and we have had a couple of frosts. Indeed we had our first snowfall of the year on the 3rd. Global warming means that these are nowhere near as common as they used to be. This is a confirmation of environmental change, a source of concern. I had put the hedgehog food away as they are supposed to be hibernating. A few evenings ago, I heard something akin to hedgehog noises, so scattered mealworms. In the absence of hedgehogs, the blackbirds will eat them, and all the wildlife is affected by the freeze.

This is the time to make New Year’s resolutions, something I have not done for a while, but was minded to this year. The top priority will be to get my own memoir fully edited and accepted by a publisher. I have been told that if I can pitch a second book of the same time it might be viewed more favourably. I am not certain that is true, but it is possible I can do this. This book I am completing covers family and my life up to the time I left England to take up my first professional post in Botswana in 1980.

I had been thinking about how to carry on. It won’t be chronological but rather key themes. I can visualise chapters about working in Botswana as a young ODI Fellow; my time in South Africa prior to my involvement in HIV and AIDS; the work on AIDS; the International AIDS Society and other bodies; commissions and high-level meetings I attended and/or helped organise; the importance of playing sport (albeit not very well, but with enthusiasm); deep friendships around the world; and international travel. It would have to be carefully read by a legal mind. I want it to be an honest account of the international AIDS architecture and people. I was very naive about some motivations.

To end off let me touch on my second priority for 2026, one that has featured in many resolutions over the years. It concerns weight loss. As far as I can see that landscape has been transformed by the drugs that have come onto the market. I am using one in the UK and its equivalent in South Africa. They do work, but I must confess to still enjoying good red wine and that is a small problem.

So the challenge for 2026 is to make achievable resolutions and manage to stick to them.

At the end of the year

The Norwich Anglican Cathedral is massive, ancient, and central to the city. On Christmas eve it was absolutely packed for the 3.30 pm service and procession. Ailsa and I were early enough to get seats, albeit ones where all we could see of the procession were the tops of banners and the bishop’s mitre! Technology means I can share a link. The inability to see did not detract from the occasion.

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The Score: Durban 27°, Norwich 5°

It was something of a shock to travel from Durban to Norwich in early December 2023. Firstly, the difference in temperature was considerable; secondly, although there was a fair amount of rain in Durban, there was also sunshine. For the first week in Norwich, we had virtually no sun, just unremitting grey days; and thirdly and finally, I had been away for a long time, nearly six months. Regular readers of the blog know the reasons for my extended stay, and I won’t go into them again.

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A Series of Mild ‘Winter’ Days

The end of 2018 saw temperatures well above normal for this time of the year, confirming for me at least that global climate change is a reality. This is extremely concerning, and the scientists’ statement that we have only 12 years in which to get change in place is depressing. At the same time I am seeing signs of adaption. There are a number of fields in the flat, Fenland areas of Norfolk, Lincolnshire, and Cambridgeshire that are covered in solar panels. As we walk around the neighbourhood it is encouraging to see the growing number of houses with panels. Let us hope 2019 brings more change. I fear it will take some major political change in the USA for these messages to be taken seriously, but action is happening at the local level.

Beyond environmental change there are some major disruptions in the UK. The most obvious one is Brexit. We really are uncertain as to what is going to happen. The whole thing has been totally mismanaged, and is still not being properly communicated to the populace. The original referendum result was 52% wanting to leave the EU and 48% wanting to remain. I think, with hindsight, the problem was that we did not have a clear idea of what leaving would mean. At the moment there are some polls suggesting 17% of those who voted leave have changed their minds, but only 4% of the ‘remainers’ would vote differently. Clearly there has been a change of heart among the public. Sadly politicians are out of touch, unyielding and unwilling to revisit the issue. A new referendum would be best.

Theresa May’s government’s negotiating position with the EU seems incoherent, and the level of forward planning is abysmal. In the last week of 2018 the BBC broke a story of a new company, ‘Seaborne Freight’, being awarded a £13.8m contract to run a freight service between Ramsgate and Ostend. Apparently the company has no ferries; has never run a ferry service; does not have many assets; and could or would not give reporters names of boats they plan to use. The BBC report said: “A local councillor said it would be impossible to launch before Brexit”. Incompetence is bad, let us hope this is not evidence of corruption. There is not much citizens can do, but the project could still fall flat on its face!

Across the country there is also a discernible and worrying change in shopping patterns. It won’t come as a surprise to anyone who reads this blog to know that the amount of shopping online has grown in leaps and bounds over the past few years. The manifestation of this is the number of empty shops on the high streets and malls. Norwich has two malls. The Castle Mall shopping centre was opened in September 1993. At the time it seemed a sensible development; it replaced the old cattle market – which had become an ugly car park. It was appropriate, sensitive and complements the magnificent castle, that was built between 1050 and 1075 and dominates the city. The second mall was on the site of the Rowntree chocolate factory. When I first came to Norwich, if the wind was in the right direction, the smell of chocolate was (just) detectable across the city. Both malls have significant numbers of empty shops, and this has only happened in the last year or so.

Our Christmas was generally quiet, unfortunately like the city. My sister came from London, not an easy journey since the railways always undergo much needed maintenance and upgrading over this period. Fortunately there are two possible routes to Norwich: from King’s Cross via Cambridge or Ely; or the more direct one from Liverpool Street Station. She came on packed trains via Cambridge.

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Slush and wind and rain

This final note for 2017 will be posted just before the end of the year. It was written over a couple days after Christmas, and before I travelled to Canada on the 29th December. I have been in the UK for three weeks, flying over at the end of the first week of December. We celebrated Christmas in Norwich. My sister came up from London for the holiday. On the actual day Rowan and her partner Ben drove across the city for the big meal.

Rowan had suggested we go to her house as she is, at the moment, fostering three young cats. The poor creatures were feral and they are taking time to get used to people. After much thought we decided to have everything in our house. We feared the festivities, and number of people, might have been a bit much for nervous cats. We had a really great meal. Ben introduced me to ‘pigs in blankets’, sausages wrapped in bacon, a real treat for the only two carnivores. Everyone else is vegetarian so the rest of the meal was a vegetarian feast.

Unusually everyone got gifts they really wanted. I made a point of sending out my wish list early in the month, but still had complaints because I had not specifically told the family who should buy what! One of the themes of my gifts was maps. Gill bought an old, 1952, ordinance survey map of Norfolk and a scratch World Map, the idea being that the gilt overlay gets scratched off every country one has visited. Ailsa got me a jigsaw puzzle of Norwich, which I am looking forward to assembling.

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Returning to Canada, not as easy as I hoped

Christmas day in Norwich was abnormally warm. The temperature rose to 14° C and it was possible to walk around without even a coat on. It then turned very cold, with a layer of ice on the car in the morning, and much scraping before we could go anywhere. I was quite pleased with this. I had cut up a lot of wood for our wood burner in the lounge, so I was able to use some of it. In addition to this, one of my Christmas presents, which I must stress I actually asked for, was a couple of sacks of coal. I had such fun building and tending the fire.

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Christmas, Cathedrals and Miss World

I went to the UK for Christmas, and returned to Waterloo on New Year’s Eve. I don’t mind air travel, but the time change is tough, especially going to Europe, since effectively one ends up with a night of no sleep. It is however an opportunity to catch up on films. On the way to Amsterdam I watched “A Walk in the Woods”, which is based on Bill Bryson’s book of the same name. It tells the story of him and a boyhood friend attempting to walk the Appalachian Way. Perhaps the most impressive part of this is that they knew when they had had enough and agreed to stop. No false bravery in this tale. I saw half of the “The Little Prince”, the most famous work of the French aristocrat and pioneering aviator Antoine de Saint-Exupéry. It is a book I think is significant, and everyone ought to read it. I am going to develop a reading list of important books for students. This will be one of them. Other suggestions are welcome.

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Cancelled planes and the run up to Christmas

In the last couple of weeks I have had two short spells in Canada split by one in the UK. I have just been in London for a board meeting for AIDSpan, an NGO based in Nairobi. Its mission is to ‘reinforce the effectiveness of the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria by serving as an independent watchdog of the Fund and its grant implementers’. I really enjoy these meetings and have a sense the organization is doing something worthwhile. We are a small board, just six people, and work well together.

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